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EOSS Balloon Flight Prediction

ALL PREDICTION DATA FROM PREVIOUS FLIGHT

For illustrative purposes only

 

EOSS-130 Prediction

Saturday July 26th, 2008
Deer Trail, Colorado

Confidence Level

See the Text Printout below for date of data acquisition.


Green Track = Ascent
Red Track = Descent
Prediction made with Balloon Track

Maps with MapPoint


Green Track = Ascent
Red Track = Descent
Red Circle = 20 nautical miles from DIA
Yellow Circle = Class B 30 nautical miles from DIA
Prediction made with Balloon Track

Maps with Google Earth

EOSS-130_predict_track.kml


FAA Prediction


                Bear Rng  EL. Vertical                      Dist. Bearing Range VOR
 Time      Alt   Deg  Mi. Deg   FPM   Latitude  Longitude  to LOS   Mag    NM   ID
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     < 1  5205   61    1   63   1400   39.6114  -104.0425    <1      89    27   FQF
       6 14000   23    1   49   1400   39.6308  -104.0319   126      87    28   FQF
      13 24000    5    3   53   1400   39.6501  -104.0381   184      84    27   FQF
      30 45000   66   10   38    868   39.6690  -103.8760   268     255    31   TXC
      48 60000   77   17   31    868   39.6664  -103.7269   315     254    24   TXC
      88 95000   73    9   62    868   39.6501  -103.8777   403     253    31   TXC
      96 60000   72    8   52  -3556   39.6475  -103.8998   315     253    32   TXC
     101 45000   77   10   36  -2484   39.6466  -103.8509   269     252    30   TXC
     113 24000   77   16   13  -1525   39.6621  -103.7567   185     253    25   TXC
     120 14000   72   16    6  -1239   39.6826  -103.7632   128     256    25   TXC
     128  5000   67   17   -1  -1041   39.7065  -103.7488     1     259    25   TXC


FQF = Falcon CO, TXC = Thurman CO

Prediction

Balloon Track for Windows                                Version 1.9.5
__________________________________________________________________________

                              Flight Prediction

Saturday, July 26, 2008           eoss-130    GFS-Short_08_07_26_1500Z.dat
6:53:45 AM                       Deer Trail                   wbaltrak.ini
__________________________________________________________________________

Winds DataFile
-----------------------
        Station: DEN
    Flight Date: 26-Jul-08 15:00
     Model Date: 26-Jul-08 06:00
DataFile Status: Intact 
 Intact Records: 18 
Corrupt Records: 0 

Grid Placement Data
-----------------------
 Reference Site: Last Chance
       Latitude: 39.74068° lat.   
      Longitude: -103.59358° long.
       X_Offset: 53.00
       Y_Offset: 39.00
Grid Origin
       Latitude: 39.17585° lat.   
      Longitude: -104.59178° long.

Launch Site - Deer Trail
-----------------------
   Launch Point: 39.61137° lat.   -104.04255° long.
           Grid: X=29.22 Y=30.07
    Ascent Rate: 1400 feet per minute
   Descent Rate: 950 feet per minute
       Altitude: 5205 feet

Maximums Enroute
-----------------------
Distance to LOS: 403.1 Mi.
  Maximum Range: 19.4 Mi.
  Maximum Winds: 50.0 mph from 271° at 40,856 feet altitude

Burst Data
-----------------------
    Burst Point: 39.65008° lat.  -103.87771° long.
           Grid: X=38.0 Y=32.7
     Burst Time: 87.8 minutes
 Burst Altitude: 95,000 feet
  Burst Bearing: 73.0°
    Burst Range: 9.2 Mi.

Predicted Landing Site
-----------------------
  Landing Point: 39.70699° lat.  -103.74623° long.
           Grid: X=44.9 Y=36.7
       Altitude: 5000 feet
    Flight Time: 129 Minutes
        Bearing: 67.2° True
          Range: 17.1 Mi.
__________________________________________________________________________

                Bear Rng  EL. Vertical                      Dist. Bearing Range VOR
 Time      Alt   Deg  Mi. Deg   FPM   Latitude  Longitude  to LOS   Mag    NM   ID
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     < 1  5205   61    1   63   1400   39.6114  -104.0425    <1      89    27   FQF
       1  6785   61    1   63   1400   39.6124  -104.0401    53      89    27   FQF
       2  8602   59    1   52   1400   39.6151  -104.0346    78      89    28   FQF
       4 10518   46    1   50   1400   39.6197  -104.0313    98      88    28   FQF
       5 12546   31    1   50   1400   39.6260  -104.0311   115      87    28   FQF
       7 14701   20    2   48   1400   39.6330  -104.0323   131      87    27   FQF
       8 16995   13    2   48   1400   39.6396  -104.0343   146      86    27   FQF
      10 19455    7    2   48   1400   39.6461  -104.0367   161      85    27   FQF
      12 22126    5    3   51   1400   39.6491  -104.0382   175      85    27   FQF
      14 25052    5    3   54   1400   39.6506  -104.0381   190      84    27   FQF
      16 28301   10    3   55   1400   39.6547  -104.0321   204      84    27   FQF
      19 31926   18    4   54   1400   39.6611  -104.0211   220      83    28   FQF
      22 36050   33    4   53   1400   39.6651  -103.9967   236      82    29   FQF
      25 40856   50    6   47   1400   39.6701  -103.9509   254      82    31   FQF
      32 46781   69   11   35    868   39.6685  -103.8439   274     255    29   TXC
      42 54787   76   16   30    868   39.6658  -103.7514   300     254    25   TXC
      58 68780   78   19   32    868   39.6674  -103.6857   339     253    22   TXC
      80 88182   76   13   49    868   39.6586  -103.7972   388     253    27   TXC
      88 95000   73    9   62    868   39.6501  -103.8777   403     253    31   TXC
      89 88182   72    9   61  -6909   39.6490  -103.8878   388     253    31   TXC
      93 68780   71    7   58  -4385   39.6472  -103.9099   340     253    32   TXC
      98 54787   73    8   48  -3139   39.6477  -103.8917   300     253    31   TXC
     101 46781   76   10   38  -2592   39.6468  -103.8608   275     252    30   TXC
     103 40856   78   12   29  -2249   39.6462  -103.8195   255     252    28   TXC
     106 36050   79   14   23  -2005   39.6496  -103.7875   237     252    27   TXC
     108 31926   79   15   19  -1820   39.6526  -103.7687   221     252    26   TXC
     110 28301   78   15   16  -1676   39.6579  -103.7595   205     253    25   TXC
     112 25052   77   16   13  -1560   39.6616  -103.7541   190     253    25   TXC
     114 22126   77   16   11  -1465   39.6631  -103.7540   176     253    25   TXC
     116 19455   76   16   10  -1385   39.6661  -103.7555   162     254    25   TXC
     118 16995   74   16    8  -1316   39.6731  -103.7580   147     255    25   TXC
     120 14701   72   16    6  -1257   39.6804  -103.7602   132     256    25   TXC
     122 12546   70   16    5  -1204   39.6885  -103.7616   117     257    25   TXC
     124 10518   69   16    3  -1157   39.6961  -103.7613   100     258    25   TXC
     125  8602   68   16    2  -1115   39.7020  -103.7572    81     259    25   TXC
     127  6785   67   17    1  -1077   39.7054  -103.7500    57     259    25   TXC
     129  5000   67   17   -1  -1041   39.7070  -103.7462     1     259    25   TXC


FQF = Falcon CO, TXC = Thurman CO

 

Notes:

1.) Errors - On rare occasions there are errors noted in the data file downloaded for the prediction. The errors are identified on the server end, not on the Balloon Track processing end. When I see this type of error I will note it in the prediction. If the resulting forecast makes no sense, I'll not post it. But, if the resulting prediction does fit within the parameters of  a series of other predictions I'll probably post it with the warning notation. So, if you see a prediction with a warning tag, consider it suspect but possibly accurate.

 

maintained by Rick von Glahn


 

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