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EOSS Balloon Flight Prediction HistoryEach prediction made for the upcoming flight is placed on the map and tabular data appears below. The tighter the grouping, the more consistent each subsequent prediction is with it's predecessors and may indicate in increased confidence level in the accuracy of the predictions being made. Conversely, if predictions are scattered all over the place, confidence levels should fall. Predictions history will be posted when two or more predictions have been made.
Balloon Track for Windows Version 1.9.5
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Historical Predictions
Sunday, November 06, 2011 EOSS-171 EOSS-171_pred_hist.csv
5:48:03 AM Windsor Pred_history.txt
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Launch Site | Predict Date | Model | Flight Date | Bear | Range | Grid X | Grid Y | Latitude | Longitude
------------------|----------------|-----------|----------------|-------|-------|--------|--------|-----------|------------
Windsor | 11/04/11 10:51 | GFS-Short | 11/06/11 15:00 | 60.4 | 99.5 | 44.5 | 54.0 | 41.17451 | -103.29800
Windsor | 11/05/11 11:51 | GFS-Short | 11/06/11 15:00 | 60.9 | 103.8 | 48.7 | 55.1 | 41.19078 | -103.21686
Windsor | 11/06/11 05:42 | GFS-Short | 11/06/11 15:00 | 57.8 | 108.4 | 49.7 | 62.5 | 41.29757 | -103.19481
Notes: Check out the "weighting page" for information on how I am applying weighting to generate the "circle of interest" or hot spot. You can chime in and let me know how you think the weighting should be applied. For more information on each model check out the "Confidence page" which gives a brief rundown of which models become active at certain times (days in advance of the flight) Notes on this Page:For more info see the Balloon Track Web Pages that cover this gizmo. |
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