EOSS Balloon Flight Prediction History

Each prediction made for the upcoming flight is placed on the map and tabular data appears below.

The tighter the grouping, the more consistent each subsequent prediction is with it's predecessors and may indicate in increased confidence level in the accuracy of the predictions being made.

Conversely, if predictions are scattered all over the place, confidence levels should fall.

Predictions history will be posted when two or more predictions have been made.

Prediction from Previous Flight

EOSS-149 Prediction History

Balloon Track for Windows                                Version 1.9.5
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                           Historical Predictions

Saturday, January 16, 2010        eoss-149          eoss-149_pred_hist.csv
6:33:25 AM                       Deer Trail               Pred_history.txt
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   Launch Site    |  Predict Date  |   Model   |  Flight Date   | Bear  | Range | Grid X | Grid Y |  Latitude |  Longitude 
------------------|----------------|-----------|----------------|-------|-------|--------|--------|-----------|------------
Deer Trail        | 01/14/10 14:07 | GFS-Short | 01/16/10 15:00 | 114.8 |  41.2 |   79.0 |  -69.4 |  39.35916 | -103.34255
Deer Trail        | 01/15/10 13:29 | GFS-Short | 01/16/10 15:00 | 126.3 |  30.2 |   32.5 |   35.1 |  39.35148 | -103.58726
Deer Trail        | 01/15/10 19:31 | GFS-Short | 01/16/10 15:00 | 117.6 |  32.0 |   36.5 |   38.2 |  39.39600 | -103.51148
Deer Trail        | 01/16/10 06:29 | GFS-Short | 01/16/10 15:00 | 124.8 |  28.7 |   31.8 |   36.6 |  39.37334 | -103.60089

Notes:

Check out the "weighting page" for information on how I am applying weighting to generate the "circle of interest" or hot spot. You can chime in and let me know how you think the weighting should be applied.

For more information on each model check out the "Confidence page" which gives a brief rundown of which models become active at certain times (days in advance of the flight)

Notes on this Page:

For more info see the Balloon Track Web Pages that cover this gizmo.