Note: Predictions are now using two ascent rates, one for
below 45K feet and a second above that altitude. Check out the text printout
below for the rates used.
Prediction from
Previous Flight
Saturday January 16th, 2010
Deer Trail, Colorado
Confidence Level
See
the Text Printout below for date of data acquisition.
Green Track = Ascent
Red Track = Descent
Prediction made with
Balloon Track
Maps with
MapPoint
Green Track = Ascent
Red Track = Descent
Red Circle = 20 nautical miles from DIA
Yellow Circle = Class B 30 nautical miles from DIA
Prediction made with
Balloon Track
Maps with
Google Earth
EOSS-149_predict_track.kml
FAA Prediction
Bear Rng EL. Vertical Dist. Bearing Range VOR
Time Alt Deg Mi. Deg FPM Latitude Longitude to LOS Mag NM ID
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
< 1 5205 74 1 59 1324 39.6114 -104.0425 <1 89 27 FQF
7 14000 146 1 53 1324 39.5962 -104.0293 126 91 28 FQF
14 24000 163 4 44 1324 39.5605 -104.0229 184 95 29 FQF
32 45000 150 12 33 949 39.4662 -103.9353 268 102 34 FQF
48 60000 129 14 36 949 39.4816 -103.8374 315 234 32 TXC
87 97000 120 19 42 949 39.4735 -103.7359 408 229 28 TXC
95 60000 118 20 27 -3556 39.4731 -103.7094 317 228 27 TXC
100 45000 115 22 19 -2484 39.4783 -103.6755 271 226 25 TXC
112 24000 120 26 8 -1525 39.4255 -103.6274 188 218 25 TXC
119 14000 124 27 3 -1239 39.3901 -103.6215 131 214 26 TXC
128 4500 125 29 -1 -1032 39.3732 -103.6038 1 211 27 TXC
FQF = Falcon CO, TXC = Thurman CO
Prediction
Balloon Track for Windows Version 1.9.5
__________________________________________________________________________
Flight Prediction
Saturday, January 16, 2010 eoss-149 GFS-Short_10_01_16_1500Z.dat
6:33:46 AM Deer Trail wbaltrak.ini
__________________________________________________________________________
Winds DataFile
-----------------------
Station: DEN
Flight Date: 16-Jan-10 15:00
Model Date: 16-Jan-10 06:00
DataFile Status: Intact
Intact Records: 18
Corrupt Records: 0
Grid Placement Data
-----------------------
Reference Site: Last Chance
Latitude: 39.74068° lat.
Longitude: -103.59358° long.
X_Offset: 32.00
Y_Offset: 62.00
Grid Origin
Latitude: 38.84274° lat.
Longitude: -104.19628° long.
Launch Site - Deer Trail
-----------------------
Launch Point: 39.61137° lat. -104.04255° long.
Grid: X=8.18 Y=53.07
Ascent Rate: 1324 feet per minute
Descent Rate: 950 feet per minute
Altitude: 5205 feet
Maximums Enroute
-----------------------
Distance to LOS: 407.6 Mi.
Maximum Range: 28.7 Mi.
Maximum Winds: 49.0 mph from 325° at 38,891 feet altitude
Burst Data
-----------------------
Burst Point: 39.47346° lat. -103.73593° long.
Grid: X=24.5 Y=43.5
Burst Time: 86.7 minutes
Burst Altitude: 97,000 feet
Burst Bearing: 120.2°
Burst Range: 18.9 Mi.
Predicted Landing Site
-----------------------
Landing Point: 39.37334° lat. -103.60089° long.
Grid: X=31.8 Y=36.6
Altitude: 4500 feet
Flight Time: 128 Minutes
Bearing: 124.8° True
Range: 28.7 Mi.
__________________________________________________________________________
Bear Rng EL. Balloon Vertical Dist. Bear Range VOR
Time Alt Deg Mi. Deg Trk Spd FPM Latitude Longitude GridX GridY to LOS Mag NM ID
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
< 1 5205 74 1 59 74 9 1324 39.6114 -104.0425 8.18 53.07 <1 89 27 FQF
< 1 6493 74 1 59 75 11 1324 39.6120 -104.0399 8.32 53.11 48 89 27 FQF
2 8215 75 1 56 140 11 1324 39.6128 -104.0356 8.55 53.17 74 89 28 FQF
4 10043 100 1 59 172 17 1324 39.6100 -104.0325 8.71 52.98 94 89 28 FQF
5 11978 130 1 59 168 22 1324 39.6041 -104.0314 8.77 52.57 111 90 28 FQF
7 14035 146 1 53 175 25 1324 39.5960 -104.0292 8.89 52.01 126 91 28 FQF
8 16237 156 2 48 179 23 1324 39.5860 -104.0281 8.95 51.32 141 92 28 FQF
10 18599 162 3 45 169 19 1324 39.5761 -104.0279 8.96 50.64 156 93 28 FQF
12 21165 164 3 44 163 14 1324 39.5674 -104.0257 9.08 50.04 170 94 29 FQF
14 23963 163 4 44 150 11 1324 39.5606 -104.0230 9.23 49.56 184 95 29 FQF
16 27044 162 4 45 142 12 1324 39.5552 -104.0189 9.44 49.19 199 96 29 FQF
19 30472 160 5 46 148 14 1324 39.5493 -104.0130 9.76 48.79 214 96 29 FQF
22 34350 158 5 46 143 24 1324 39.5409 -104.0062 10.12 48.21 230 97 30 FQF
25 38891 155 7 44 145 49 1324 39.5250 -103.9907 10.95 47.11 247 98 31 FQF
32 44678 151 12 33 80 17 949 39.4659 -103.9371 13.81 43.03 267 102 34 FQF
40 53084 140 13 36 77 24 949 39.4722 -103.8907 16.28 43.46 294 235 34 TXC
55 67254 121 16 36 95 10 949 39.4914 -103.7815 22.10 44.79 335 233 29 TXC
75 86345 116 19 38 224 7 949 39.4870 -103.7188 25.44 44.49 383 230 27 TXC
87 97000 120 19 42 224 7 949 39.4735 -103.7359 24.54 43.55 408 229 28 TXC
88 86345 121 19 39 224 7 -6622 39.4715 -103.7384 24.41 43.41 385 229 28 TXC
93 67254 120 20 31 95 10 -4228 39.4705 -103.7243 25.16 43.35 337 228 27 TXC
98 53084 116 21 23 77 24 -3014 39.4765 -103.6899 26.99 43.76 297 227 26 TXC
101 44678 115 22 19 80 17 -2465 39.4789 -103.6720 27.94 43.93 270 226 25 TXC
104 38891 117 24 15 145 49 -2146 39.4527 -103.6485 29.21 42.12 249 222 25 TXC
106 34350 118 25 12 143 24 -1926 39.4418 -103.6379 29.77 41.36 232 220 25 TXC
108 30472 119 25 11 148 14 -1760 39.4354 -103.6328 30.05 40.92 217 219 25 TXC
110 27044 119 25 9 142 12 -1630 39.4306 -103.6280 30.31 40.59 202 218 25 TXC
112 23963 120 26 8 150 11 -1524 39.4260 -103.6246 30.49 40.27 188 217 25 TXC
114 21165 120 26 6 163 14 -1435 39.4196 -103.6221 30.63 39.83 174 217 25 TXC
116 18599 121 26 5 169 19 -1360 39.4111 -103.6200 30.74 39.25 160 216 25 TXC
118 16237 123 27 4 179 23 -1296 39.4010 -103.6198 30.76 38.55 146 215 26 TXC
120 14035 124 27 3 175 25 -1240 39.3903 -103.6187 30.82 37.81 131 213 26 TXC
121 11978 125 28 2 168 22 -1190 39.3814 -103.6163 30.95 37.19 116 212 27 TXC
123 10043 126 28 2 172 17 -1146 39.3745 -103.6151 31.02 36.72 100 212 27 TXC
125 8215 126 28 1 140 11 -1107 39.3711 -103.6115 31.22 36.48 82 211 27 TXC
126 6493 125 29 1 75 11 -1071 39.3722 -103.6061 31.50 36.56 60 211 27 TXC
128 4500 125 29 -1 74 9 -1032 39.3733 -103.6009 31.78 36.64 1 211 26 TXC
FQF = Falcon CO, TXC = Thurman CO
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01/16/2010 11:17:46
(CDT) 
