Recap of EOSS-126

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Short Range Predictions

 


Balloon Track for Windows                                Version 1.9.5
__________________________________________________________________________
Historical Predictions
Saturday, February 23, 2008       EOSS-126          EOSS-126_pred_hist.csv
6:16:02 AM                         Windsor                Pred_history.txt
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Launch Site    |  Predict Date  |   Model   |  Flight Date   | Bear  | Range | Grid X | Grid Y |  Latitude |  Longitude
------------------|----------------|-----------|----------------|-------|-------|--------|--------|-----------|------------
Windsor           | 02/20/08 16:00 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 |  91.9 |  29.6 |   15.2 |   34.5 |  40.45804 | -104.39876
Windsor           | 02/21/08 00:59 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 | 106.1 |  29.4 |   13.8 |   27.3 |  40.35400 | -104.42548
Windsor           | 02/21/08 14:50 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 | 105.4 |  31.2 |   15.6 |   27.2 |  40.35248 | -104.39085
Windsor           | 02/22/08 01:11 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 |  99.6 |  31.9 |   17.1 |   30.2 |  40.39523 | -104.36352
Windsor           | 02/22/08 08:41 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 |  94.5 |  34.9 |   20.4 |   32.7 |  40.43205 | -104.29965
Windsor           | 02/22/08 08:49 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 |  94.5 |  34.7 |   20.2 |   32.7 |  40.43217 | -104.30426
Windsor           | 02/22/08 19:33 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 |  88.7 |  29.7 |   15.3 |   36.1 |  40.48191 | -104.39703
Windsor           | 02/22/08 19:36 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 |  88.7 |  29.5 |   15.0 |   36.1 |  40.48163 | -104.40144
Windsor           | 02/23/08 06:12 | GFS-Short | 02/23/08 15:00 |  75.0 |  23.7 |   25.5 |   56.7 |  40.56201 | -104.52562

Notes:

Pure short range (0-84 hour window) predictions ONLY will appear when 2 or more are available.

Check out the "weighting page" for information on how I am applying weighting to generate the "circle of interest" or hot spot. You can chime in and let me know how you think the weighting should be applied.

For more information on each model check out the "Confidence page" which gives a brief rundown of which models become active at certain times (days in advance of the flight)


Medium Range Predictions

Balloon Track for Windows                                Version 1.9.5
__________________________________________________________________________
Historical Predictions
Tuesday, February 19, 2008        EOSS-126          EOSS-126_pred_hist.csv
8:03:06 PM                         Windsor                Pred_history.txt
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Launch Site    |  Predict Date  |   Model   |  Flight Date   | Bear  | Range | Grid X | Grid Y |  Latitude |  Longitude
------------------|----------------|-----------|----------------|-------|-------|--------|--------|-----------|------------
Windsor           | 02/17/08 06:55 |   GFS-Med | 02/23/08 12:00 |  43.4 |  35.9 |   10.3 |   61.6 |  40.85022 | -104.49078
Windsor           | 02/18/08 15:33 |   GFS-Med | 02/23/08 12:00 |  91.7 |  33.6 |   19.1 |   34.5 |  40.45791 | -104.32369
Windsor           | 02/19/08 02:47 |   GFS-Med | 02/23/08 12:00 |  30.9 |  20.2 |   -4.0 |   52.8 |  40.72385 | -104.76441
Windsor           | 02/19/08 13:03 |   GFS-Med | 02/23/08 12:00 |  56.9 |  21.7 |    3.8 |   47.4 |  40.64466 | -104.61573
Windsor           | 02/19/08 19:59 |   GFS-Med | 02/23/08 12:00 |  64.9 |  36.4 |   18.6 |   50.9 |  40.69550 | -104.33264